1 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:38,800 supercells are rotating thunderstorms 2 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:38,810 supercells are rotating thunderstorms 3 00:00:38,810 --> 00:00:42,370 supercells are rotating thunderstorms that can cause tornadoes and hail the 4 00:00:42,370 --> 00:00:42,380 that can cause tornadoes and hail the 5 00:00:42,380 --> 00:00:44,530 that can cause tornadoes and hail the most widely accepted theory for storm 6 00:00:44,530 --> 00:00:44,540 most widely accepted theory for storm 7 00:00:44,540 --> 00:00:46,420 most widely accepted theory for storm spin up produces a pair of counter 8 00:00:46,420 --> 00:00:46,430 spin up produces a pair of counter 9 00:00:46,430 --> 00:00:49,450 spin up produces a pair of counter rotating supercells but such pairs are 10 00:00:49,450 --> 00:00:49,460 rotating supercells but such pairs are 11 00:00:49,460 --> 00:00:51,940 rotating supercells but such pairs are rarely observed in the troposphere and a 12 00:00:51,940 --> 00:00:51,950 rarely observed in the troposphere and a 13 00:00:51,950 --> 00:00:54,130 rarely observed in the troposphere and a theory is needed that produces a single 14 00:00:54,130 --> 00:00:54,140 theory is needed that produces a single 15 00:00:54,140 --> 00:00:58,660 theory is needed that produces a single supercell a new mathematical model 16 00:00:58,660 --> 00:00:58,670 supercell a new mathematical model 17 00:00:58,670 --> 00:01:01,570 supercell a new mathematical model called vertical rotating draft has been 18 00:01:01,570 --> 00:01:01,580 called vertical rotating draft has been 19 00:01:01,580 --> 00:01:03,280 called vertical rotating draft has been developed that includes the gross 20 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:03,290 developed that includes the gross 21 00:01:03,290 --> 00:01:05,770 developed that includes the gross features of a supercell in highly 22 00:01:05,770 --> 00:01:05,780 features of a supercell in highly 23 00:01:05,780 --> 00:01:09,430 features of a supercell in highly idealized form this new model produces a 24 00:01:09,430 --> 00:01:09,440 idealized form this new model produces a 25 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:13,870 idealized form this new model produces a single supercell principal ingredients 26 00:01:13,870 --> 00:01:13,880 single supercell principal ingredients 27 00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:15,850 single supercell principal ingredients of the model include rotation about a 28 00:01:15,850 --> 00:01:15,860 of the model include rotation about a 29 00:01:15,860 --> 00:01:20,680 of the model include rotation about a vertical axis horizontal convergence in 30 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:20,690 vertical axis horizontal convergence in 31 00:01:20,690 --> 00:01:22,210 vertical axis horizontal convergence in the middle troposphere caused by the 32 00:01:22,210 --> 00:01:22,220 the middle troposphere caused by the 33 00:01:22,220 --> 00:01:27,420 the middle troposphere caused by the compression of sinking air parcels 34 00:01:27,420 --> 00:01:27,430 35 00:01:27,430 --> 00:01:32,920 buoyancy 36 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:32,930 37 00:01:32,930 --> 00:01:40,610 and the Coriolis force 38 00:01:40,610 --> 00:01:40,620 39 00:01:40,620 --> 00:01:42,860 when these ingredients are used in fluid 40 00:01:42,860 --> 00:01:42,870 when these ingredients are used in fluid 41 00:01:42,870 --> 00:01:45,230 when these ingredients are used in fluid dynamic equations the horizontal 42 00:01:45,230 --> 00:01:45,240 dynamic equations the horizontal 43 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:47,090 dynamic equations the horizontal pressure gradient is found to be zero 44 00:01:47,090 --> 00:01:47,100 pressure gradient is found to be zero 45 00:01:47,100 --> 00:01:49,760 pressure gradient is found to be zero and air parcels move along inertial 46 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:49,770 and air parcels move along inertial 47 00:01:49,770 --> 00:01:51,200 and air parcels move along inertial circles projected on a horizontal 48 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:51,210 circles projected on a horizontal 49 00:01:51,210 --> 00:01:54,320 circles projected on a horizontal surface this circular motion gives the 50 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:54,330 surface this circular motion gives the 51 00:01:54,330 --> 00:01:56,210 surface this circular motion gives the model and inertial oscillation that 52 00:01:56,210 --> 00:01:56,220 model and inertial oscillation that 53 00:01:56,220 --> 00:01:57,860 model and inertial oscillation that appears to have been overlooked in 54 00:01:57,860 --> 00:01:57,870 appears to have been overlooked in 55 00:01:57,870 --> 00:02:03,380 appears to have been overlooked in previous supercell models the inertial 56 00:02:03,380 --> 00:02:03,390 previous supercell models the inertial 57 00:02:03,390 --> 00:02:05,870 previous supercell models the inertial oscillation consists of a long quiescent 58 00:02:05,870 --> 00:02:05,880 oscillation consists of a long quiescent 59 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:08,210 oscillation consists of a long quiescent phase when the draft diameter is large 60 00:02:08,210 --> 00:02:08,220 phase when the draft diameter is large 61 00:02:08,220 --> 00:02:12,530 phase when the draft diameter is large and rotates anti cyclonic Lee and a 62 00:02:12,530 --> 00:02:12,540 and rotates anti cyclonic Lee and a 63 00:02:12,540 --> 00:02:14,780 and rotates anti cyclonic Lee and a short intense phase when the draft 64 00:02:14,780 --> 00:02:14,790 short intense phase when the draft 65 00:02:14,790 --> 00:02:17,630 short intense phase when the draft diameter is small and rotates cyclonic 66 00:02:17,630 --> 00:02:17,640 diameter is small and rotates cyclonic 67 00:02:17,640 --> 00:02:21,410 diameter is small and rotates cyclonic ly one cycle of mathematically driven 68 00:02:21,410 --> 00:02:21,420 ly one cycle of mathematically driven 69 00:02:21,420 --> 00:02:23,960 ly one cycle of mathematically driven animation represents 13 hours of 70 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:23,970 animation represents 13 hours of 71 00:02:23,970 --> 00:02:25,910 animation represents 13 hours of quiescent phase and five hours of 72 00:02:25,910 --> 00:02:25,920 quiescent phase and five hours of 73 00:02:25,920 --> 00:02:29,150 quiescent phase and five hours of intense phase during the intense phase 74 00:02:29,150 --> 00:02:29,160 intense phase during the intense phase 75 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:31,640 intense phase during the intense phase of the inertial oscillation the rotating 76 00:02:31,640 --> 00:02:31,650 of the inertial oscillation the rotating 77 00:02:31,650 --> 00:02:36,500 of the inertial oscillation the rotating draft resembles a supercell rising 78 00:02:36,500 --> 00:02:36,510 draft resembles a supercell rising 79 00:02:36,510 --> 00:02:39,530 draft resembles a supercell rising parcels of air expand causing the draft 80 00:02:39,530 --> 00:02:39,540 parcels of air expand causing the draft 81 00:02:39,540 --> 00:02:41,990 parcels of air expand causing the draft to expand and rotate anti cyclonic Li 82 00:02:41,990 --> 00:02:42,000 to expand and rotate anti cyclonic Li 83 00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:46,150 to expand and rotate anti cyclonic Li the updraft changes to a downdraft 84 00:02:46,150 --> 00:02:46,160 the updraft changes to a downdraft 85 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:53,260 the updraft changes to a downdraft contracts and rotation becomes cyclonic 86 00:02:53,260 --> 00:02:53,270 87 00:02:53,270 --> 00:02:55,670 downdraft is driven by evaporative 88 00:02:55,670 --> 00:02:55,680 downdraft is driven by evaporative 89 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:57,949 downdraft is driven by evaporative cooling and updraft by condensation 90 00:02:57,949 --> 00:02:57,959 cooling and updraft by condensation 91 00:02:57,959 --> 00:03:01,580 cooling and updraft by condensation aletan expanding flow interacts with the 92 00:03:01,580 --> 00:03:01,590 aletan expanding flow interacts with the 93 00:03:01,590 --> 00:03:04,130 aletan expanding flow interacts with the Coriolis force to produce anti cyclonic 94 00:03:04,130 --> 00:03:04,140 Coriolis force to produce anti cyclonic 95 00:03:04,140 --> 00:03:13,150 Coriolis force to produce anti cyclonic rotation during the quiescent phase 96 00:03:13,150 --> 00:03:13,160 97 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:15,380 contracting flow interacts with the 98 00:03:15,380 --> 00:03:15,390 contracting flow interacts with the 99 00:03:15,390 --> 00:03:17,990 contracting flow interacts with the Coriolis force to produce cyclonic 100 00:03:17,990 --> 00:03:18,000 Coriolis force to produce cyclonic 101 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:23,380 Coriolis force to produce cyclonic rotation during the intense phase 102 00:03:23,380 --> 00:03:23,390 103 00:03:23,390 --> 00:03:25,610 additional physical ingredients of the 104 00:03:25,610 --> 00:03:25,620 additional physical ingredients of the 105 00:03:25,620 --> 00:03:27,560 additional physical ingredients of the model include translation of the 106 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:27,570 model include translation of the 107 00:03:27,570 --> 00:03:30,460 model include translation of the rotating draft and vertical wind shear 108 00:03:30,460 --> 00:03:30,470 rotating draft and vertical wind shear 109 00:03:30,470 --> 00:03:33,440 rotating draft and vertical wind shear the rotating draft moves at a constant 110 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:33,450 the rotating draft moves at a constant 111 00:03:33,450 --> 00:03:35,120 the rotating draft moves at a constant height above the surface of the earth 112 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:35,130 height above the surface of the earth 113 00:03:35,130 --> 00:03:38,150 height above the surface of the earth the intense phase has a small buoyant 114 00:03:38,150 --> 00:03:38,160 the intense phase has a small buoyant 115 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:40,970 the intense phase has a small buoyant draft cyclonic rotation marked by a 116 00:03:40,970 --> 00:03:40,980 draft cyclonic rotation marked by a 117 00:03:40,980 --> 00:03:44,030 draft cyclonic rotation marked by a track that turns to the right this right 118 00:03:44,030 --> 00:03:44,040 track that turns to the right this right 119 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:46,340 track that turns to the right this right turn is a salient feature of actual 120 00:03:46,340 --> 00:03:46,350 turn is a salient feature of actual 121 00:03:46,350 --> 00:03:49,700 turn is a salient feature of actual supercells the quiescent phase has a 122 00:03:49,700 --> 00:03:49,710 supercells the quiescent phase has a 123 00:03:49,710 --> 00:03:51,950 supercells the quiescent phase has a large negatively buoyant draft with 124 00:03:51,950 --> 00:03:51,960 large negatively buoyant draft with 125 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:55,550 large negatively buoyant draft with antipsychotic rotation latent heating 126 00:03:55,550 --> 00:03:55,560 antipsychotic rotation latent heating 127 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:58,010 antipsychotic rotation latent heating changes the downdraft to an updraft in 128 00:03:58,010 --> 00:03:58,020 changes the downdraft to an updraft in 129 00:03:58,020 --> 00:04:00,410 changes the downdraft to an updraft in the middle of the intense phase this 130 00:04:00,410 --> 00:04:00,420 the middle of the intense phase this 131 00:04:00,420 --> 00:04:02,300 the middle of the intense phase this flow reversal interacts with the 132 00:04:02,300 --> 00:04:02,310 flow reversal interacts with the 133 00:04:02,310 --> 00:04:04,460 flow reversal interacts with the vertical wind shear to cause the right 134 00:04:04,460 --> 00:04:04,470 vertical wind shear to cause the right 135 00:04:04,470 --> 00:04:07,790 vertical wind shear to cause the right turn the latent energy required to 136 00:04:07,790 --> 00:04:07,800 turn the latent energy required to 137 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:09,650 turn the latent energy required to support this inertial oscillation is 138 00:04:09,650 --> 00:04:09,660 support this inertial oscillation is 139 00:04:09,660 --> 00:04:12,290 support this inertial oscillation is greatest during the quiescent phase when 140 00:04:12,290 --> 00:04:12,300 greatest during the quiescent phase when 141 00:04:12,300 --> 00:04:18,770 greatest during the quiescent phase when the draft diameter is large a supercell 142 00:04:18,770 --> 00:04:18,780 the draft diameter is large a supercell 143 00:04:18,780 --> 00:04:20,479 the draft diameter is large a supercell storm that produced one and one half 144 00:04:20,479 --> 00:04:20,489 storm that produced one and one half 145 00:04:20,489 --> 00:04:23,270 storm that produced one and one half centimeter hail is documented by radar 146 00:04:23,270 --> 00:04:23,280 centimeter hail is documented by radar 147 00:04:23,280 --> 00:04:26,630 centimeter hail is documented by radar echoes spaced 30 minutes apart these 148 00:04:26,630 --> 00:04:26,640 echoes spaced 30 minutes apart these 149 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:29,060 echoes spaced 30 minutes apart these echoes become increasingly stronger as 150 00:04:29,060 --> 00:04:29,070 echoes become increasingly stronger as 151 00:04:29,070 --> 00:04:32,750 echoes become increasingly stronger as the supercell bills the track turns to 152 00:04:32,750 --> 00:04:32,760 the supercell bills the track turns to 153 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:35,540 the supercell bills the track turns to the right hail is produced and strong 154 00:04:35,540 --> 00:04:35,550 the right hail is produced and strong 155 00:04:35,550 --> 00:04:38,450 the right hail is produced and strong echoes are recorded the echoes then 156 00:04:38,450 --> 00:04:38,460 echoes are recorded the echoes then 157 00:04:38,460 --> 00:04:41,409 echoes are recorded the echoes then weaken as the supercell dissipates 158 00:04:41,409 --> 00:04:41,419 weaken as the supercell dissipates 159 00:04:41,419 --> 00:04:43,580 weaken as the supercell dissipates application of the mathematical model 160 00:04:43,580 --> 00:04:43,590 application of the mathematical model 161 00:04:43,590 --> 00:04:45,530 application of the mathematical model starts in the middle of the quiescent 162 00:04:45,530 --> 00:04:45,540 starts in the middle of the quiescent 163 00:04:45,540 --> 00:04:48,830 starts in the middle of the quiescent phase the first week radar echoes are in 164 00:04:48,830 --> 00:04:48,840 phase the first week radar echoes are in 165 00:04:48,840 --> 00:04:51,140 phase the first week radar echoes are in theory created by a growing up draft in 166 00:04:51,140 --> 00:04:51,150 theory created by a growing up draft in 167 00:04:51,150 --> 00:04:54,440 theory created by a growing up draft in a predominantly downward airflow after 168 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:54,450 a predominantly downward airflow after 169 00:04:54,450 --> 00:04:56,570 a predominantly downward airflow after the turning point the strong echoes and 170 00:04:56,570 --> 00:04:56,580 the turning point the strong echoes and 171 00:04:56,580 --> 00:04:58,580 the turning point the strong echoes and hail are created in theory by a 172 00:04:58,580 --> 00:04:58,590 hail are created in theory by a 173 00:04:58,590 --> 00:05:03,500 hail are created in theory by a predominantly upward airflow data from 174 00:05:03,500 --> 00:05:03,510 predominantly upward airflow data from 175 00:05:03,510 --> 00:05:05,690 predominantly upward airflow data from the documented supercell storm generally 176 00:05:05,690 --> 00:05:05,700 the documented supercell storm generally 177 00:05:05,700 --> 00:05:07,790 the documented supercell storm generally support the intense phase of the model 178 00:05:07,790 --> 00:05:07,800 support the intense phase of the model 179 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:10,310 support the intense phase of the model however the quiescent phase of the model 180 00:05:10,310 --> 00:05:10,320 however the quiescent phase of the model 181 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:12,220 however the quiescent phase of the model is not supported by the storm data 182 00:05:12,220 --> 00:05:12,230 is not supported by the storm data 183 00:05:12,230 --> 00:05:14,510 is not supported by the storm data possibly because the quiescent phase 184 00:05:14,510 --> 00:05:14,520 possibly because the quiescent phase 185 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:18,440 possibly because the quiescent phase requires too much latent energy the new 186 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:18,450 requires too much latent energy the new 187 00:05:18,450 --> 00:05:20,360 requires too much latent energy the new mathematical model called vertical 188 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:20,370 mathematical model called vertical 189 00:05:20,370 --> 00:05:22,460 mathematical model called vertical rotating draft has an inertial 190 00:05:22,460 --> 00:05:22,470 rotating draft has an inertial 191 00:05:22,470 --> 00:05:24,380 rotating draft has an inertial oscillation with an intense phase that 192 00:05:24,380 --> 00:05:24,390 oscillation with an intense phase that 193 00:05:24,390 --> 00:05:26,540 oscillation with an intense phase that resembles a single supercell 194 00:05:26,540 --> 00:05:26,550 resembles a single supercell 195 00:05:26,550 --> 00:05:29,270 resembles a single supercell this intense phase starts with a 196 00:05:29,270 --> 00:05:29,280 this intense phase starts with a 197 00:05:29,280 --> 00:05:31,520 this intense phase starts with a predominantly downward flow that causes 198 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:31,530 predominantly downward flow that causes 199 00:05:31,530 --> 00:05:34,550 predominantly downward flow that causes the draft to contract and spin up partly 200 00:05:34,550 --> 00:05:34,560 the draft to contract and spin up partly 201 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:39,320 the draft to contract and spin up partly by action of the Coriolis force more 202 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:39,330 by action of the Coriolis force more 203 00:05:39,330 --> 00:05:41,600 by action of the Coriolis force more research remains to be done they 204 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:41,610 research remains to be done they 205 00:05:41,610 --> 00:05:43,340 research remains to be done they predominantly downward flow that 206 00:05:43,340 --> 00:05:43,350 predominantly downward flow that 207 00:05:43,350 --> 00:05:45,440 predominantly downward flow that theoretically occurs before the turning 208 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:45,450 theoretically occurs before the turning 209 00:05:45,450 --> 00:05:47,780 theoretically occurs before the turning point in a supercell track needs to be 210 00:05:47,780 --> 00:05:47,790 point in a supercell track needs to be 211 00:05:47,790 --> 00:05:51,140 point in a supercell track needs to be detected and measured this down flow if 212 00:05:51,140 --> 00:05:51,150 detected and measured this down flow if 213 00:05:51,150 --> 00:05:53,690 detected and measured this down flow if confirmed by measurements would strongly 214 00:05:53,690 --> 00:05:53,700 confirmed by measurements would strongly 215 00:05:53,700 --> 00:05:56,510 confirmed by measurements would strongly support this new theory for the spin up 216 00:05:56,510 --> 00:05:56,520 support this new theory for the spin up 217 00:05:56,520 --> 00:05:59,630 support this new theory for the spin up of supercell storms